I'm more than a little surprised by this post by Steven Goddard. His answer to my title question is yes. That he's wrong isn't very interesting. We all make mistakes, and particularly so when speaking outside areas that we've studied. The two main physical processes which show his error are interesting in their own right, and I'll take this chance to discuss them -- they are rivers (which say 200 years should be noticeable), and what happens to fresh water at 4 C (which says the memory is 1 year [oops, 6 months]).
First, I'll take a look at a less interesting error that minimal self-checking would have pointed to a difficulty. But that introduces a useful tool -- the 'sanity check'. Namely, he suggests that the reason Lake Superior is still cold is because it's so large that it is still adjusting to the end of the last ice age. That's about 10,000 years ago. Ok, suppose this line of reasoning is true. While Superior is large, is it tiny compared to the oceans. If Superior takes 10,000+ years to adjust, something 10 times bigger should take 100,000+ years to adjust. The ocean is about 100,000 times larger (in volume) than Lake Superior.
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