tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5337555368793819627.post8523417521571139903..comments2023-06-07T09:04:36.390-04:00Comments on More Grumbine Science: Quick NotesRobert Grumbinehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10783453972811796911noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5337555368793819627.post-21073393001582698312012-09-08T04:59:13.284-04:002012-09-08T04:59:13.284-04:00Just a quick note to confirm I accept those odds :...Just a quick note to confirm I accept those odds :-)Alastairhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15152292130415788120noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5337555368793819627.post-80020744470041094672012-07-02T16:31:26.204-04:002012-07-02T16:31:26.204-04:00Even with the currently blistering heat here, and ...Even with the currently blistering heat here, and the rapid decline earlier this month, I'll go with my original estimate. So 50Q even money for over/under 4.15 million km^2. For under 3.9 ... well, for you, that's even odds, given your estimate. For me, given the 4.4 statistical one, and my uncertainty level in it (1 standard deviation = 0.5 million km^2).<br /><br />So, you figure 1 in 2 chance of below 3.9, I figure 1 in 6. How about my 50Q that it will be above 3.9 million km^2 to your 17Q? (in other words, 3:1 odds)Robert Grumbinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10783453972811796911noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5337555368793819627.post-26450908132378664602012-06-20T07:05:42.083-04:002012-06-20T07:05:42.083-04:00Hi Bob,
The sea ice is still not at a minimum for...Hi Bob,<br /><br />The sea ice is still not at a minimum for this time of year, so bearing that in mind what odds are you willing to give me that the minimum will be below 3.9 M sq km?<br /><br />Also you, and others posting here, might be interested in <a href="http://visionprize.com/appendix" rel="nofollow">this</a>, a prize for a successful prediction of predictions regarding an ice free Arctic.<br /><br />Cheers, Alastair.Alastairhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15152292130415788120noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5337555368793819627.post-62403270409313380902012-06-19T09:04:57.150-04:002012-06-19T09:04:57.150-04:00Thanks. Good as it was to travel and meet with ot...Thanks. Good as it was to travel and meet with other people in my tiny corner of the scientific world, it is good to be back.<br /><br />Good link on GCOM-W1.Robert Grumbinehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10783453972811796911noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5337555368793819627.post-54029826320238675032012-06-19T01:47:14.632-04:002012-06-19T01:47:14.632-04:00Useful JAXA website for GCOM-1 aka Shinzuku.
Nice...Useful JAXA website for <a href="http://www.jaxa.jp/projects/sat/gcom_w/index_e.html" rel="nofollow">GCOM-1</a> aka Shinzuku.<br /><br />Nice to see another post here!dbostromhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13885863615343906724noreply@blogger.com