I'll hang out the shingle here for folks who want to talk about sea ice wagers with me. Keep in mind that I don't bet real money, quatloos instead. Call them points of honor.
I don't take any of this very seriously. Seriously enough to mention that so far, I have won all my wagers of quatloos.
The serious part is how rapidly pseudoskeptics leave the room if one raises even a casual honor bet that takes their statements seriously. People who claim that temperatures are just as likely to go down as up demand 50:1 odds if challenged to a bet on whether temperatures will go up or down. If they believed what they were saying, they'd take 1:1 odds, and be happy with either side of the bet.
Last fall as I was evaluating the seaice ... statements from Wattsupwiththat , Joe Bastardi declared (over there) his belief that September 2011 ice would be at least 5.5 million km^2. If anyone can find Bastardi's address, I would be happy to bet quite a few quatloos with him. If he believed what he said, he should pay off infinity to my 1 if ice is less than 5.5 million km^2. I'll pay him 1 if it's over.
Lents: Caius and Christ’s
8 hours ago